The NFL offseason has two major events that will inevitably impact the fantasy values of several players. The first of those two events is free agency. Amidst all the 2022 free agent signings, the Jets signed a new starting tight end. What does CJ Uzomah’s dynasty fantasy football value look like after signing with the Jets?
CJ Uzomah’s dynasty fantasy outlook
The good news is Uzomah is coming off the best season of his career. The bad news is he only put up 493 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns on 49 receptions.
Uzomah finished as the TE20 last season, averaging a career-high 8 PPR fantasy points per game. While he wasn’t a reliable fantasy producer, he did have a spike-week upside. Uzomah had two games over 24 fantasy points, finishing as the overall TE1 twice.
On Monday, Mike Garafolo reported the Jets signed Uzomah to a three-year, $24 million contract. Uzomah immediately steps into a starting role.
While there are certainly better landing spots than the Jets in terms of the caliber of offense, the key for Uzomah’s fantasy value was finding somewhere he could start. I did just that.
Fantasy impact on Zach Wilson, Elijah Moore, and Corey Davis
Uzomah is undoubtedly an upgrade on the cavalcade of fringe NFL players the Jets deployed at tight end in the 2021 season. He’s significantly better than Ryan Griffin and Tyler Kroft.
Last season, the aforementioned Jets tight ends combined for an 11.1% target share. On the Bengals, Uzomah only commanded a 12.3% target share. He also shared snaps, at least to an extent, with Drew Sample (39% snap share).
Uzomah would do well to hit the 15% target share mark this season. His addition of him to the Jets’ passing game does not prompt me to downgrade Moore, Davis, or Braxton Berrios at all. If anything, Uzomah benefits them as he may only run a route on about half his snaps from him.
This is a solid real-life signing for the Jets but not impactful for fantasy purposes. He’s another pass catcher for Wilson to throw to and is an upgrade on last year’s guys, but I wouldn’t call Uzomah a needle-mover by any stretch.
Fantasy impact on Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins
Uzomah was a fine tight end for the Bengals. They’ll also be fine if they elect to push Sample into the primary role. This isn’t an offense that needs a receiving tight end. Burrow has Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd at his disposal.
The only potential impact would be a slight downgrade if the Bengals replace Uzomah with a strong receiving tight end. I can’t really see a scenario where that happens outside of a rookie, which wouldn’t matter much in Year 1 or 2 anyway.
How should fantasy managers value Uzomah in dynasty
Dynasty managers should definitely view Uzomah more favorably than they did while he was with the Bengals. Although he’s on a worse offense, he’s the clear starter and could hit a 90% snap share this season.
At the same time, an increased target share from Wilson may not be as good as a lesser target share from Burrow. Signing with the Jets is a slight bump to Uzomah’s dynasty value, but he’s still nothing more than a back-end TE2.